Egypt Edges Depleted Super Eagles as Nigeria’s “Osimhen Dependency” Looms Large Over AFCON Prep

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The Super Eagles’ preparations for AFCON 2025 hit another stumbling block on Wednesday as a second-string Nigerian side fell 2–1 to Egypt’s Pharaohs. The defeat not only marks consecutive losses for Eric Chelle’s men but reignites a troubling narrative: Nigeria’s systemic struggle to find the back of the net—or the win column—without talismanic striker Victor Osimhen.

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Match Summary: A Tale of Two Defenses
In a tactical experiment that saw heavyweights like Ademola Lookman and Alex Iwobi relegated to the bench, Nigeria struggled for rhythm. Egypt took the lead before the half-hour mark through Mahmoud Saber, who capitalized on a pinpoint delivery from the standout Zizo.

Nigeria showed flashes of resilience late in the first half. After a Zaidu Sanusi free-kick caused chaos in the Egyptian box, defender Chidozie Awaziem was on hand to head home the equalizer. However, the parity was short-lived. Shortly after the interval, a controversial lapse in the offside trap allowed Mostafa Mohamed to fire past substitute goalkeeper Amas Obasogie, sealing Egypt’s first victory over the Super Eagles since 2016.

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The “Osimhen Factor” by the Numbers
The loss underscores a growing statistical concern for coach Eric Chelle. While the “Supercomputer” ranks Nigeria as the 5th favorite to lift the trophy when at full strength, the reality on the pitch without their reigning African Footballer of the Year is stark.

Stat Category With Osimhen (Recent Cycle) Without Osimhen (Recent Cycle)
Win Percentage 65% 0% (Last 6 matches)
Goals Per Game 2.1 0.8
Key Result AFCON Qualification secured 0 wins in 5 World Cup Qualifiers

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“The team struggled through World Cup qualifying, failing to win any of the five matches Osimhen was absent for. His unavailability remains the single biggest hurdle between Nigeria and continental glory.


With the AFCON opener against Tanzania fast approaching, Chelle faces a grueling race against time to integrate his “heavy hitters” and find a tactical Plan B. While the Pharaohs move forward with momentum, Nigeria heads back to the drawing board, hoping their star power returns before the lights shine brightest in Morocco.

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